CS2 skin price comparison platform. Compare prices across marketplaces, track inventory value, and access historical data via API.

Features

  • Compare
  • Browse
  • ROI
  • Trade-Up
  • Custom Indexes
  • Marketcap
  • CS2 Marketplaces & Scrapping Statuses
  • Pricing
  • API Documentation
  • Blog

Browse

  • CS2 Weapons
  • Rifles
  • Knives
  • Gloves
  • CS2 Cases
  • CS2 Capsules
  • CS2 Collections
  • CS2 Packages
Terms of ServicePrivacy PolicyCookie PolicySkinbase vs Pricempire

Powered by Steam. Not affiliated with Valve Corp. Copyright © 2026 Skinbase. All Rights Reserved.

Cookie Settings

We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience. By clicking Accept, you consent to our use of analytics cookies. Cookie Policy

/
CasesArmoryStickersCollections

Cases

CS2 Case ROI Calculator

42 cases

CS:GO Weapon Case 3

CS:GO Weapon Case 3

ROI72%
Avg. Unbox$10.41Profit Chance17.7%
2
ROI: 71.8%
CS:GO Weapon Case 2

CS:GO Weapon Case 2

ROI82%
Avg. Unbox$19.99Profit Chance19.7%
1
ROI: 82.2%
eSports 2013 Winter Case

eSports 2013 Winter Case

ROI72%
Avg. Unbox$13.51Profit Chance24.1%
3
ROI: 71.8%
Operation Vanguard Weapon Case

Operation Vanguard Weapon Case

14 items

ROI64%
Avg. Unbox$4.86
★ Knives
Profit Chance15.7%
Total Cost$7.58
eSports 2014 Summer Case

eSports 2014 Summer Case

17 items

ROI62%
Avg. Unbox$9.18
★ Knives
Profit Chance13.0%
Total Cost$14.86
Operation Wildfire Case

Operation Wildfire Case

16 items

ROI61%
Avg. Unbox$3.39
★ Knives
Profit Chance13.7%
Total Cost$5.52
Glove Case

Glove Case

17 items

ROI61%
Avg. Unbox$8.94
★ Gloves
Profit Chance6.8%
Total Cost$14.61
Operation Hydra Case

Operation Hydra Case

17 items

ROI60%
Avg. Unbox$18.52
★ Gloves
Profit Chance7.3%
Total Cost$30.74
Gamma Case

Gamma Case

17 items

ROI59%
Avg. Unbox$3.11
★ Knives
Profit Chance4.4%
Total Cost$5.26
Chroma Case

Chroma Case

14 items

ROI58%
Avg. Unbox$3.97
★ Knives
Profit Chance4.1%
Total Cost$6.82
Chroma 2 Case

Chroma 2 Case

15 items

ROI57%
Avg. Unbox$3.32
★ Knives
Profit Chance4.5%
Total Cost$5.77
Shadow Case

Shadow Case

16 items

ROI55%
Avg. Unbox$2.27
★ Knives
Profit Chance4.5%
Total Cost$4.09
Winter Offensive Weapon Case

Winter Offensive Weapon Case

13 items

ROI54%
Avg. Unbox$6.49
★ Knives
Profit Chance8.5%
Total Cost$11.98
Chroma 3 Case

Chroma 3 Case

17 items

ROI54%
Avg. Unbox$2.97
★ Knives
Profit Chance4.1%
Total Cost$5.50
Spectrum Case

Spectrum Case

17 items

ROI53%
Avg. Unbox$3.00
★ Knives
Profit Chance4.4%
Total Cost$5.68
Gamma 2 Case

Gamma 2 Case

17 items

ROI52%
Avg. Unbox$2.72
★ Knives
Profit Chance4.1%
Total Cost$5.19
Horizon Case

Horizon Case

17 items

ROI52%
Avg. Unbox$2.07
★ Knives
Profit Chance4.4%
Total Cost$3.99
Prisma Case

Prisma Case

17 items

ROI52%
Avg. Unbox$1.94
★ Knives
Profit Chance7.6%
Total Cost$3.75
Falchion Case

Falchion Case

16 items

ROI51%
Avg. Unbox$2.06
★ Knives
Profit Chance7.3%
Total Cost$4.02
Huntsman Weapon Case

Huntsman Weapon Case

15 items

ROI50%
Avg. Unbox$5.21
★ Knives
Profit Chance4.1%
Total Cost$10.34
Revolver Case

Revolver Case

17 items

ROI50%
Avg. Unbox$2.49
★ Knives
Profit Chance4.6%
Total Cost$4.96
Operation Broken Fang Case

Operation Broken Fang Case

17 items

ROI48%
Avg. Unbox$4.03
★ Gloves
Profit Chance4.4%
Total Cost$8.39
Spectrum 2 Case

Spectrum 2 Case

17 items

ROI48%
Avg. Unbox$2.41
★ Knives
Profit Chance4.1%
Total Cost$5.07
Operation Phoenix Weapon Case

Operation Phoenix Weapon Case

13 items

ROI47%
Avg. Unbox$2.89
★ Knives
Profit Chance4.5%
Total Cost$6.09
Operation Breakout Weapon Case

Operation Breakout Weapon Case

14 items

ROI46%
Avg. Unbox$4.51
★ Knives
Profit Chance4.1%
Total Cost$9.69
Gallery Case

Gallery Case

17 items

ROI46%
Avg. Unbox$1.50
★ Knives
Profit Chance5.0%
Total Cost$3.23
Dreams & Nightmares Case

Dreams & Nightmares Case

17 items

ROI46%
Avg. Unbox$1.46
★ Knives
Profit Chance4.1%
Total Cost$3.19
CS20 Case

CS20 Case

17 items

ROI45%
Avg. Unbox$1.55
★ Knives
Profit Chance4.1%
Total Cost$3.45
Snakebite Case

Snakebite Case

17 items

ROI44%
Avg. Unbox$1.30
★ Gloves
Profit Chance7.3%
Total Cost$2.92
Shattered Web Case

Shattered Web Case

17 items

ROI44%
Avg. Unbox$3.18
★ Knives
Profit Chance4.4%
Total Cost$7.16
Operation Riptide Case

Operation Riptide Case

17 items

ROI44%
Avg. Unbox$4.82
★ Knives
Profit Chance5.1%
Total Cost$10.98
Prisma 2 Case

Prisma 2 Case

17 items

ROI43%
Avg. Unbox$1.60
★ Knives
Profit Chance4.1%
Total Cost$3.73
Danger Zone Case

Danger Zone Case

17 items

ROI40%
Avg. Unbox$1.43
★ Knives
Profit Chance4.1%
Total Cost$3.60
Fever Case

Fever Case

17 items

ROI37%
Avg. Unbox$1.12
★ Knives
Profit Chance4.1%
Total Cost$3.02
Recoil Case

Recoil Case

17 items

ROI36%
Avg. Unbox$0.99
★ Gloves
Profit Chance4.1%
Total Cost$2.78
CS:GO Weapon Case

CS:GO Weapon Case

9 items

ROI34%
Avg. Unbox$36.97
★ Knives
Profit Chance10.4%
Total Cost$108.68
Clutch Case

Clutch Case

17 items

ROI34%
Avg. Unbox$1.03
★ Gloves
Profit Chance4.1%
Total Cost$3.07
Revolution Case

Revolution Case

17 items

ROI33%
Avg. Unbox$0.89
★ Gloves
Profit Chance4.1%
Total Cost$2.73
eSports 2013 Case

eSports 2013 Case

9 items

ROI32%
Avg. Unbox$15.49
★ Knives
Profit Chance4.1%
Total Cost$47.83
Operation Bravo Case

Operation Bravo Case

15 items

ROI31%
Avg. Unbox$17.46
★ Knives
Profit Chance4.5%
Total Cost$57.23
Fracture Case

Fracture Case

17 items

ROI30%
Avg. Unbox$0.88
★ Knives
Profit Chance4.1%
Total Cost$2.94
Kilowatt Case

Kilowatt Case

17 items

ROI30%
Avg. Unbox$0.78
★ Knives
Profit Chance4.1%
Total Cost$2.62

Methodology

How the CS2 Case ROI Calculator Works

The Skinbase CS2 case ROI calculator estimates how much value a case opening returns on average. It combines the full opening cost, published CS2 drop rates, every possible item, and current marketplace prices. The result helps you compare cases on the same scale before you spend money, but it does not predict what any single opening will contain.

What goes into a case-opening ROI estimate?

First, Skinbase calculates the total opening cost: the current case price plus the fixed $2.50 key price. It then calculates the average unbox value, also called expected value or EV. Each outcome adds its market price multiplied by its probability, so common low-value skins and extremely rare knives or gloves are weighted according to how often they can drop.

Standard weapon cases use the published rarity distribution below. Items within a rarity share that tier's probability, while StatTrak-capable weapon finishes have a separate 10% StatTrak chance.

Mil-Spec (Blue)
79.92%
Restricted (Purple)
15.98%
Classified (Pink)
3.20%
Covert (Red)
0.64%
Rare Special (Gold)
≈0.26%

The calculation goes beyond a simple rarity average. Skinbase weights prices by each skin's float range and likely wear, separates normal and StatTrak variants, and accounts for priced rare phases such as Doppler finishes. The methodology follows the .

ROI FAQ

Answers to the most common questions about CS2 ROI, expected value, and trade ups.

What does expected value (EV) mean in CS2 ROI?
Expected value (EV) is the average return from opening a case or capsule, calculated from item prices and drop rates.
How is profit chance calculated for CS2 ROI?
Profit chance is the probability that your unbox value is higher than total cost, based on live prices and drop rates.
Where do the CS2 ROI drop rates come from?
We use published drop-rate odds and item pools, then combine them with market prices to estimate ROI.
Are trade ups better than opening cases for ROI?
Trade ups can be more controlled than case openings, but ROI still depends on prices, float outcomes, and market demand.
What are the odds of getting a knife from a CS2 case?
The odds of unboxing a knife or gloves from any CS2 case are approximately 0.26%, which means roughly 1 in 385 case openings. This drop rate is the same across all CS2 cases, regardless of price or content. You can use the Skinbase ROI calculator to see whether the potential knife value makes a specific case worth opening.
What is profitability in CS2 case openings?
Profitability measures whether the average value of items you receive from opening a case is higher than the cost of the case itself. Skinbase calculates this using live marketplace prices and official drop rates. A case is considered profitable when its expected value (EV) exceeds the purchase price, though most cases have negative profitability in the long run.
official Chinese CS:GO probability disclosure

How ROI is calculated

Expected value

EV = Σ(outcome probability × current outcome price)

Return shown

ROI = expected value ÷ total opening cost × 100

Skinbase displays ROI as the percentage of your opening cost that you can expect to receive back over many openings. A 100% result is break-even. A 60% result means an average return of $0.60 for every $1.00 spent, or an expected loss of 40% before selling fees.

For example, suppose a case and key cost $5.00 in total and the probability-weighted value of all drops is $3.00. The calculator shows 60% ROI: $3.00 ÷ $5.00 × 100. The expected shortfall is $2.00 per opening, even though an individual lucky drop could be worth much more than $5.00.

ROI vs. profit chance

ROI and profit chance answer different questions. ROI is the probability-weighted, long-run return across every possible drop. Profit chance is the combined probability of receiving an item currently worth more than the case and key together. A case can therefore have a relatively strong ROI but a low profit chance when a very small number of expensive outcomes contribute a large share of its expected value. Compare both numbers rather than treating either one as a promise of profit.

How to use the CS2 ROI calculator

  1. Step 1Choose a price provider.Use Best available for the lowest available marketplace prices, or select the provider that matches where you expect to buy and value items.
  2. Step 2Compare the core metrics.Sort cases by ROI, then compare total cost, average unbox value, and profit chance instead of looking at the highest possible drop alone.
  3. Step 3Inspect the item breakdown.Open any case above to review item-level odds, wear probabilities, prices, and the outcomes driving its expected return.

You can also browse the complete CS2 case catalog or compare a more controlled set of possible outcomes with the CS2 trade-up calculator.

Why Skinbase?

Skinbase keeps case comparisons transparent: you can see the costs, probabilities, prices, and assumptions behind the result instead of relying on one unexplained percentage.

  • Live prices from many providersSkinbase tracks live marketplace prices across many providers. Choose a specific provider or Best available so container and outcome values reflect the market data most relevant to you.
  • Detailed outcome modelingItem rarity, wear probabilities, StatTrak variants, and priced rare phases are included rather than compressed into a simple rarity average.
  • Metrics that answer different questionsCompare total cost, expected value, ROI, and profit chance together, then inspect the item-level breakdown behind each case.
Home
CS2 Case ROI Calculator